Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA) (2024)

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Stock XNAS Rating as of

$11.66 −0.44(3.64%)

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Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA) (1)

Walgreens Earnings: Disappointing Results on Tough Retail Environment Muddying Near-Term Recovery

Keonhee Kim

No-moat Walgreens reported disappointing third-quarter earnings. After fully digesting those results, we are raising Walgreens' uncertainty to Very High from High, lowering our capital allocation to Poor from Standard, and lowering our fair value estimate to $23 per share from $33. Our new assessment of the firm models in continued challenges in the overall landscape, a more severe margin headwind in the US Retail Pharmacy segment, and slower growth in US Healthcare business. Reimbursem*nt pressures from pharmacy benefit managers continue to compress profitability for the back end of the pharmacy business, and we think the retail business, which we originally thought should counteract headwinds and lift margins, will continue to struggle in the near and medium term, with the likelihood of full recovery uncertain.

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WBA is trading at a 465% premium.

Price

$12.18

Fair Value

$16.00

Uncertainty

Very High

1-Star Price
$39.25

5-Star Price
$84.90

Economic Moat
Bwkq

Capital Allocation
Gffkt

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Walgreens is one of the largest domestic retail pharmacy chains, with around 8,800 US locations. Over three fourths of Americans live within five miles of a Walgreens location.

Bears

The confluence of reimbursem*nt pricing pressure in the retail pharmacy and tough general retail store conditions has diminished profitability and ROICs.

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News

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  • Head of Boots pharmacy chain to depart as owner Walgreens struggles
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance's stock headed for 27-year low after profit miss and lowered guidance
  • Can McDonald's make money on $5 meals when inflation is so high?
  • WBA Investors Have the Opportunity to Join Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Securities Fraud Investigation with the Schall Law Firm
  • Walgreens' junk bonds among biggest decliners in high-yield market after earnings disappoint
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance Reports Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Results
  • Wall Street sees corporate profit margins creeping toward 2021 levels, as three household names prep earnings

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$12.10
Day Range

$11.6612.21

52-Week Range

$11.6631.32

Bid/Ask
$11.65/$11.66

Market Cap
$10.10 Bil

Volume/Avg
10.8 Mil/15.1 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
3.84

Price/Sales
0.07

Dividend Yield (Trailing)
12.07%

Dividend Yield (Forward)
8.27%

Total Yield
12.73%

Company Profile

Walgreens Boots Alliance is one of the largest retail pharmacy chains in the US, with over 8,500 locations. Nearly three quarters of Americans live within five miles of a Walgreens location. Roughly two thirds of revenue is generated from prescription drug sales; Walgreens makes up 20% of total prescription revenue in the US. Walgreens also generates sales from retail products (general wellness consumables and its own branded merchandise), European drug wholesale, and healthcare. With more locations incorporating additional services like Health Corner and Village Medical, Walgreens creates an omnichannel experience for patients and positions itself as a one-stop healthcare provider.

Sector
Healthcare

Industry
Pharmaceutical Retailers

Stock Style Box
Mid Value

Total Number of Employees
331,000

Competitors

  • Dollar General Corp DG
  • Walmart Inc WMT
  • CVS Health Corp CVS

Valuation

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Metric

WBA

DG

WMT

Price/Earnings (Normalized)

3.8419.2529.17

Price/Book Value

0.774.156.70

Price/Sales

0.070.740.83

Price/Cash Flow

6.9111.3615.73

Price/Earnings

WBA

DG

WMT

Financial Strength

Metric

WBA

DG

WMT

Quick Ratio

0.270.110.19

Current Ratio

0.651.220.80

Interest Coverage

−25.877.1210.38

Quick Ratio

WBA

DG

WMT

Profitability

Metric

WBA

DG

WMT

Return on Assets (Normalized)

2.96%5.07%7.77%

Return on Equity (Normalized)

15.55%23.87%24.81%

Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)

5.58%7.31%14.14%

Return on Assets

WBA

DG

WMT

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Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA) (2024)
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